Consumer Grade Trade-Up — $1.39 Profit (26.6% ROI)
Cost $5.23 · 20% chance to profit · Consumer Grade rarity tier. Built from inputs from The Nuke Collection, The Safehouse Collection, The Radiant Collection, The Achroma Collection, The 2018 Inferno Collection, The Harlequin Collection. Data sourced from real listings on CSFloat, DMarket, and Skinport.
Inputs
This trade-up contract uses 10 input skins of the same rarity. The 10 inputs are:
- PP-Bizon | Irradiated Alert (Field-Tested) — The Nuke Collection — $2.00
- PP-Bizon | Irradiated Alert (Field-Tested) — The Nuke Collection — $2.28
- SCAR-20 | Contractor (Minimal Wear) — The Safehouse Collection — $0.03
- PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) — The Radiant Collection — $0.06
- Nova | Currents (Factory New) — The Achroma Collection — $0.07
- SCAR-20 | Short Ochre (Factory New) — The Radiant Collection — $0.09
- AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) — The 2018 Inferno Collection — $0.15
- R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside (Factory New) — The Harlequin Collection — $0.17
- R8 Revolver | Mauve Aside (Factory New) — The Harlequin Collection — $0.18
- MP7 | Short Ochre (Factory New) — The Radiant Collection — $0.20
Outputs
The output skin is randomly selected from the next rarity tier in the matching collections, weighted proportionally by input count per collection. Possible outputs:
- PP-Bizon | Candy Apple (Factory New) — 3% chance — est. $0.19
- Glock-18 | High Beam (Factory New) — 3% chance — est. $0.16
- MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $0.22
- R8 Revolver | Nitro (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $0.24
- FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.26
- M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.34
- MAC-10 | Snow Splash (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.23
- MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.24
- R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.25
- FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Factory New) — 5% chance — est. $0.23
- Galil AR | O-Ranger (Factory New) — 5% chance — est. $0.27
- M4A4 | Steel Work (Factory New) — 5% chance — est. $0.35
- P250 | Sedimentary (Factory New) — 5% chance — est. $0.31
- SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) — 5% chance — est. $0.15
- Tec-9 | Citric Acid (Factory New) — 5% chance — est. $0.17
- P90 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) — 7% chance — est. $33.18
- UMP-45 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) — 7% chance — est. $34.98
- XM1014 | Fallout Warning (Minimal Wear) — 7% chance — est. $28.07
- MP5-SD | Picnic (Factory New) — 4% chance — est. $0.26
- MP7 | Coral Paisley (Factory New) — 4% chance — est. $0.41
- SSG 08 | Calligrafaux (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $0.18
- Tec-9 | Banana Leaf (Factory New) — 4% chance — est. $0.32
- XM1014 | XoooM (Factory New) — 4% chance — est. $0.30
- AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.15
- G3SG1 | VariCamo (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.32
- Galil AR | VariCamo (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.29
- M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.18
- MP9 | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.19
- USP-S | Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.20
Mechanics
In CS2, a trade-up contract accepts exactly 10 weapon skins of the same rarity and produces 1 skin of the next higher rarity. The output skin's float value is determined by the adjusted float formula: the average float of all 10 inputs is mapped into the output skin's condition range, producing a predictable wear result.
The output condition depends on where the average input float falls relative to the output skin's min and max float values. Lower-float inputs (closer to 0) tend to produce Factory New or Minimal Wear outputs; higher-float inputs (above 0.45) push toward Field-Tested, Well-Worn, or Battle-Scarred.
Profitability depends on three factors: (1) the cost of 10 inputs at current marketplace prices, (2) the expected value of the output distribution weighted by each skin's market price, and (3) the marketplace fees applied on both the buy and sell sides. This trade-up was calculated using live listing prices with all fees included.