Knife/Glove Trade-Up — $2.58 Profit (0.5% ROI)
Cost $502.12 · 33% chance to profit · Knife/Glove rarity tier. Built from inputs from The Dead Hand Collection, The Wildfire Collection. Data sourced from real listings on CSFloat, DMarket, and Skinport.
Inputs
This trade-up contract uses 10 input skins of the same rarity. The 10 inputs are:
- AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) — The Dead Hand Collection — $114.23
- Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear) — The Dead Hand Collection — $115.00
- Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Minimal Wear) — The Dead Hand Collection — $119.50
- AWP | Queen's Gambit (Minimal Wear) — The Dead Hand Collection — $120.49
- M4A4 | The Battlestar (Minimal Wear) — The Wildfire Collection — $32.90
Outputs
The output skin is randomly selected from the next rarity tier in the matching collections, weighted proportionally by input count per collection. Possible outputs:
- ★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $610.05
- ★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $194.53
- ★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $193.10
- ★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $284.20
- ★ Driver Gloves | Garden (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $622.30
- ★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $255.95
- ★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $489.46
- ★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $421.40
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $470.14
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $398.01
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $1468.45
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $229.09
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $626.61
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $940.80
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $615.44
- ★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $2197.68
- ★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $220.50
- ★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $387.82
- ★ Sport Gloves | Blaze (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $291.06
- ★ Sport Gloves | Frosty (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $422.61
- ★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $751.66
- ★ Sport Gloves | Occult (Minimal Wear) — 4% chance — est. $1166.10
- ★ Bowie Knife (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $93.76
- ★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $201.35
- ★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $203.77
- ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $164.18
- ★ Bowie Knife | Stained (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $79.41
- ★ Bowie Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $91.24
- ★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $116.66
- ★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $178.95
- ★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $68.50
- ★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $72.23
- ★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $58.99
- ★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $69.07
- ★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $72.69
Mechanics
In CS2, a trade-up contract accepts exactly 10 weapon skins of the same rarity and produces 1 skin of the next higher rarity. The output skin's float value is determined by the adjusted float formula: the average float of all 10 inputs is mapped into the output skin's condition range, producing a predictable wear result.
The output condition depends on where the average input float falls relative to the output skin's min and max float values. Lower-float inputs (closer to 0) tend to produce Factory New or Minimal Wear outputs; higher-float inputs (above 0.45) push toward Field-Tested, Well-Worn, or Battle-Scarred.
Profitability depends on three factors: (1) the cost of 10 inputs at current marketplace prices, (2) the expected value of the output distribution weighted by each skin's market price, and (3) the marketplace fees applied on both the buy and sell sides. This trade-up was calculated using live listing prices with all fees included.