Restricted Trade-Up — $1.34 Profit (5.0% ROI)
Cost $26.87 · 10% chance to profit · Restricted rarity tier. Built from inputs from The Operation Hydra Collection, The Revolution Collection, The Prisma Collection, The Snakebite Collection, The Fracture Collection, The Fever Collection, The Recoil Collection. Data sourced from real listings on CSFloat, DMarket, and Skinport.
Inputs
This trade-up contract uses 10 input skins of the same rarity. The 10 inputs are:
- P90 | Death Grip (Battle-Scarred) — The Operation Hydra Collection — $14.11
- R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) — The Revolution Collection — $1.06
- R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) — The Revolution Collection — $1.17
- MP5-SD | Gauss (Minimal Wear) — The Prisma Collection — $1.22
- P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) — The Snakebite Collection — $1.27
- Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear) — The Fracture Collection — $1.44
- P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New) — The Revolution Collection — $1.46
- P90 | Wave Breaker (Minimal Wear) — The Fever Collection — $1.64
- R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) — The Recoil Collection — $1.70
- R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Minimal Wear) — The Recoil Collection — $1.80
Outputs
The output skin is randomly selected from the next rarity tier in the matching collections, weighted proportionally by input count per collection. Possible outputs:
- AUG | Momentum (Field-Tested) — 3% chance — est. $5.20
- R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) — 3% chance — est. $8.56
- XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) — 3% chance — est. $5.13
- AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) — 7% chance — est. $7.19
- P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear) — 7% chance — est. $5.07
- Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear) — 7% chance — est. $5.65
- AK-47 | Searing Rage (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $6.64
- Glock-18 | Shinobu (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $8.10
- UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $6.28
- Dual Berettas | Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $78.28
- Galil AR | Sugar Rush (Factory New) — 3% chance — est. $210.77
- M4A4 | Hellfire (Factory New) — 3% chance — est. $393.65
- Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $6.96
- MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $6.85
- XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $5.31
- AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear) — 10% chance — est. $5.46
- P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear) — 10% chance — est. $5.71
- UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear) — 10% chance — est. $5.72
- Glock-18 | Vogue (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $5.68
- M4A4 | Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $5.71
- XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) — 3% chance — est. $6.58
Mechanics
In CS2, a trade-up contract accepts exactly 10 weapon skins of the same rarity and produces 1 skin of the next higher rarity. The output skin's float value is determined by the adjusted float formula: the average float of all 10 inputs is mapped into the output skin's condition range, producing a predictable wear result.
The output condition depends on where the average input float falls relative to the output skin's min and max float values. Lower-float inputs (closer to 0) tend to produce Factory New or Minimal Wear outputs; higher-float inputs (above 0.45) push toward Field-Tested, Well-Worn, or Battle-Scarred.
Profitability depends on three factors: (1) the cost of 10 inputs at current marketplace prices, (2) the expected value of the output distribution weighted by each skin's market price, and (3) the marketplace fees applied on both the buy and sell sides. This trade-up was calculated using live listing prices with all fees included.