Consumer Grade Trade-Up — $1.03 Profit (25.1% ROI)
Cost $4.11 · 40% chance to profit · Consumer Grade rarity tier. Built from inputs from The Havoc Collection, The Radiant Collection, The Lake Collection, The Dust 2 Collection, The Boreal Collection, The Achroma Collection. Data sourced from real listings on CSFloat, DMarket, and Skinport.
Inputs
This trade-up contract uses 10 input skins of the same rarity. The 10 inputs are:
- Tec-9 | Phoenix Chalk (Field-Tested) — The Havoc Collection — $0.82
- Tec-9 | Phoenix Chalk (Field-Tested) — The Havoc Collection — $0.83
- M249 | Predator (Field-Tested) — The Havoc Collection — $1.00
- M249 | Predator (Field-Tested) — The Havoc Collection — $1.13
- MP9 | Multi-Terrain (Factory New) — The Radiant Collection — $0.03
- SG 553 | Waves Perforated (Minimal Wear) — The Lake Collection — $0.04
- MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) — The Dust 2 Collection — $0.05
- G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) — The Boreal Collection — $0.06
- Dual Berettas | BorDeux (Factory New) — The Radiant Collection — $0.07
- M249 | Sleet (Factory New) — The Achroma Collection — $0.08
Outputs
The output skin is randomly selected from the next rarity tier in the matching collections, weighted proportionally by input count per collection. Possible outputs:
- MP7 | Vault Heist (Factory New) — 10% chance — est. $15.87
- Nova | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) — 10% chance — est. $8.05
- R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker (Factory New) — 10% chance — est. $18.36
- UMP-45 | Houndstooth (Factory New) — 10% chance — est. $8.29
- FAMAS | Vendetta (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.15
- M4A4 | Aeolian Dark (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.07
- MAC-10 | Snow Splash (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.16
- MP5-SD | Snow Splash (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.15
- R8 Revolver | Dark Chamber (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.10
- AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) — 1% chance — est. $0.12
- Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear) — 1% chance — est. $0.14
- Galil AR | Acid Dart (Factory New) — 1% chance — est. $0.18
- P2000 | Marsh (Factory New) — 1% chance — est. $0.18
- MAC-10 | Acid Hex (Factory New) — 1% chance — est. $0.16
- P90 | Mustard Gas (Minimal Wear) — 1% chance — est. $0.06
- R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear) — 1% chance — est. $0.05
- SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) — 1% chance — est. $0.16
- Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Minimal Wear) — 1% chance — est. $0.08
- FAMAS | Grey Ghost (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $0.07
- Galil AR | O-Ranger (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $0.07
- M4A4 | Steel Work (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $0.05
- P250 | Sedimentary (Minimal Wear) — 3% chance — est. $0.06
- SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) — 3% chance — est. $0.15
- Tec-9 | Citric Acid (Factory New) — 3% chance — est. $0.17
- AWP | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.23
- PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.33
- Desert Eagle | Mudder (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.19
- FAMAS | Cyanospatter (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.21
- XM1014 | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.17
- AK-47 | Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.22
- Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.15
- MAC-10 | Palm (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.16
- Sawed-Off | Snake Camo (Minimal Wear) — 2% chance — est. $0.19
- Tec-9 | VariCamo (Factory New) — 2% chance — est. $0.31
Mechanics
In CS2, a trade-up contract accepts exactly 10 weapon skins of the same rarity and produces 1 skin of the next higher rarity. The output skin's float value is determined by the adjusted float formula: the average float of all 10 inputs is mapped into the output skin's condition range, producing a predictable wear result.
The output condition depends on where the average input float falls relative to the output skin's min and max float values. Lower-float inputs (closer to 0) tend to produce Factory New or Minimal Wear outputs; higher-float inputs (above 0.45) push toward Field-Tested, Well-Worn, or Battle-Scarred.
Profitability depends on three factors: (1) the cost of 10 inputs at current marketplace prices, (2) the expected value of the output distribution weighted by each skin's market price, and (3) the marketplace fees applied on both the buy and sell sides. This trade-up was calculated using live listing prices with all fees included.